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The latest AutoTrader Price Index shows the Canadian automotive market has proven resilient and is continuing to stabilize following several years of unprecedented volatility. After a strong first half of 2025 driven by a tariff-related surge in purchasing activity, we expected market activity to moderate in 2026. While the market did slightly shift, the softening was more modest than anticipated, with both new and used vehicle markets proving more resilient than expected.

Although prices have improved since the same time last year, both new and used vehicle prices remain well above pre-pandemic levels, signaling ongoing affordability challenges. With improved inventory levels, we expect market activity to strengthen in the second half of the year, provided broader economic conditions remain stable.

Ultimately, improving inventory, stabilizing pricing, and resilient consumer demand suggest the Canadian automotive market is continuing its transition toward a more balanced and sustainable environment. Provided broader economic conditions remain stable, current conditions suggest a gradual transition toward a more balanced and sustainable market rather than a sharp correction.

Affordability remains the dominant driver of consumer purchasing decisions. A recent AutoTrader study on consumer sentiment toward vehicle purchase intent and CUSMA indicates that, while Canadians remain assured in their household finances, they are less confident about the overall Canadian economy and are predominately considering financial value when it comes to purchase decision. Despite many Canadians being aware of the negotiations, sentiment is mixed, with the majority say they are impacted. However, behaviour is more focused on affordability rather than shifting away from buying. This further underscores the importance of affordability for car shoppers.