The Canadian automotive market started 2025 strongly for both new and used vehicles, with March sales boosted by consumers reacting to anticipated tariffs. While new car inventory has largely recovered to pre-pandemic levels, ongoing uncertainty around tariffs is making long-term forecasting difficult, with potential outcomes ranging from flat sales to a 25% decline this year.
Since the beginning of August, we have observed an uptick in used car demand on a year-over-year basis, driven by two key factors: (i) the overlap with a slower market from last year, and (ii) the decline in both used car prices and interest rates. The latter appears to have stimulated demand, as estimated sales
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